Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every forecaster.

With the 2024 presidential election results now out, many forecasters have been proved wrong. But which were right?

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala ...

Renowned election guru Nate Silver called the race for the White House a “pure toss-up” Sunday as he gave ex-President Donald Trump a slight edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in his ...

The remaining 270 simulations resulted in an Electoral College tie, Silver said, adding that he would usually only run 40,000 simulations. Nate Silver has shared his final polling model for the ...

“I kind of trust pollsters less,” said Silver about election forecasts, alleging that pollsters are putting their “finger on the scale.” News Reporter Polling data expert Nate Silver ...

"There are literally going to be people who say, ‘Nate Silver predicts a Harris win,' as a result of this. Literally." Silver explained the unprecedented nature of this election cycle ...

Breaking News Reporter Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night. Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was ...

Allan Lichtman and Nate Silver, will soon be put to the test. Lichtman, an American University professor who has correctly predicted 9 out of 10 of the last presidential elections, has forecasted ...

"A close race in the polls does not necessarily mean the outcome will be close," pollsters FiveThirtyEight wrote on their ...

Elections analyst Nate Silver expressed his astonishment that the presidential race had tightened even further on Monday in a one word post on X, formerly Twitter, that read “Welp.” ...