Election modeling has become a serious racket ever since Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight but now working ...

As far as winners go, Trump wasn’t the only one emerging victorious on Election Day, with predictions markets seemingly vindicated.

The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and ...

The election result landslide that went mostly-unpredicted has political guessers fighting. Allan Lichtman, a famed election ...

Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...

Elections forecaster Allan Lichtman took a swipe at fellow prognosticator Nate Silver on Wednesday while admitting he was ...

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

Statistician Nate Silver has responded to Donald Trump's projected victory, as the former president sits on 266 electoral ...

As millions of voters cast their ballots in a razor-tight presidential election on Tuesday, former President Donald Trump will join them, while Vice President Kamala Harris has already mailed in her ...

TV networks call elections carefully. You will need to head online tonight if you want to get a sense of the result before ...

Polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has suddenly named Vice President Kamala Harris its favorite to win the White House, on Election Day, for the first time since October 17. The race has long been ...