The map was created before Election Day 2024 as a prediction of how women might vote. In early November 2024, a map spread on ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every ...

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

Pollster Nate ... 538 forecasts a victory for Harris with 281 electoral votes to Trump’s 257. Still, the margin between the ...

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 ...

Pollster Nate Silver predicted on Saturday a ... 2016 but lost to President Joe Biden in 2020—to win enough electoral votes ...

polling expert and FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver updated his presidential election forecast and gave GOP nominee Donald Trump a 63.8 percent chance of winning the Electoral College in ...

Newsweek has rounded up the pollster's most recent predictions about Kamala Harris chances in the presidential election.

Nate Silver, the statistician and founder of polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight ... "Why is the number important? Well, the ...

Vice President Kamala Harris' chances of winning seven key swing states and securing a landslide victory are 12.6 percent—nearly half the 21.4 percent likelihood of former President Donald Trump ...