I read a couple of books recently that, while I’d not like to take a three-hour final on them, nudged my brain out of neutral ...
The electorate can also change a lot in four years: voters die, a crop of new ones turn 18 and become eligible to vote, and ...
The bottom line is that modern pollsters are trying to correct for known forms of possible bias in their samples by making subjective adjustments to the data. If their judgments are correct, then ...
For much of the 2024 US presidential campaign, polls and pundits rated the race too close to call. Then Donald Trump ...
Nate Silver became a nationwide ... other political data on his website FiveThirtyEight.com, but has since left to crunch ...
Bean achieved a sort of political fame for a book he wrote in 1948 that ... right?” said Nate Silver, the founder of ...
Trump’s big win should be a lesson to those who blindly trust "experts," whether pollsters or bureaucrats, who wield control ...
Nate Silver established his reputation with predictions of political elections, and he now runs the website FiveThirtyEight ... paperback version of Silver's book The Signal and the Noise is ...
Several prominent polling experts, including Nate Silver, The New York Times and FiveThirtyEight, had the race at essentially ...
The great science fiction author Isaac Asimov wrote a series of books in which a scientist ... Allan Lichtman and close poll reader Nate Silver — got into an online feud over the weekend over ...
His only issue: he cleared the whole order book and bought $274,300 worth ... a 53% chance to win with Harris at 47%. Nate Silver (who formerly was 538’s Managing Editor) has the election ...