When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 ...

Pollster Nate Silver said he believes there is “hidden good news” for Democrats in the 2024 election results, despite the ...

Newsweek has rounded up the pollster's most recent predictions about Kamala Harris chances in the presidential election.

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every ...

Polling guru Nate Silver lashed out at other survey junkies in his field for “cheating” in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election — accusing them of recycling some results to ...

Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more ...

“I kind of trust pollsters less,” said Silver about election forecasts, alleging that pollsters are putting their “finger on the scale.” News Reporter Polling data expert Nate Silver ...

"As a founding member of She Shoulda Picked Shapiro, I think it's relatively clear now that she made a mistake," Nate Silver ...

The remaining 270 simulations resulted in an Electoral College tie, Silver said, adding that he would usually only run 40,000 simulations. Nate Silver has shared his final polling model for the ...

Pollster Nate Silver said in his forecast update Friday that “you’d probably rather have [Vice President] Harris’s hand to ...

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

BOSTON — As editor and founder of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver makes a living by predicting the outcomes of sporting events and political elections. But even his exhaustive statistical ...