Pollster Nate Silver said he believes there is “hidden good news” for Democrats in the 2024 election results, despite the ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every forecaster.

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala ...

Breaking News Reporter Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night. Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was ...

Renowned election guru Nate Silver called the race for the White House a “pure toss-up” Sunday as he gave ex-President Donald Trump a slight edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in his ...

The remaining 270 simulations resulted in an Electoral College tie, Silver said, adding that he would usually only run 40,000 simulations. Nate Silver has shared his final polling model for the ...

The news comes as Harris' chances of winning the election have dropped by about 6 percentage points since late September.

“I kind of trust pollsters less,” said Silver about election forecasts, alleging that pollsters are putting their “finger on the scale.” News Reporter Polling data expert Nate Silver ...

Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Who's model is more ...

Historian Allan Lichtman reaffirmed his 2024 election prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly defeat former President Donald Trump, and called out fellow predictor Nate Silver ...

BOSTON — As editor and founder of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver makes a living by predicting the outcomes of sporting events and political elections. But even his exhaustive statistical ...

Allan Lichtman and Nate Silver, will soon be put to the test. Lichtman, an American University professor who has correctly predicted 9 out of 10 of the last presidential elections, has forecasted ...