I managed to stay off Twitter all night. We sort of pre-wrote our "Trump wins" piece on Oct. 20, so linking to it here, I think one thesis we really got right this cycle is this was a difficult ...

"...However, that doesn't mean the actual outcome will be all that close. If the polls are totally accurate we're in for a nail-biter on Tuesday night. But a ...

Statistician Nate Silver has suggested that Minnesota Governor Tim Walz may not have been the best choice for Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate. In a written online conversation published ...

Top pollster Nate Silver has released his long-awaited final prediction of the 2024 election hours before the polls close across the U.S. And he says it's 'literally closer than a coin flip,' and ...

Poll analyst Nate Silver's final forecast for the 2024 US Presidential election predicted a near tie between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Harris held a marginal lead in simulations, but the ...

Breaking News Reporter Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night. Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was ...

Vice President Harris took a razor-thin lead against former President Trump in Nate Silver’s final forecast of the 2024 election, with the veteran pollster saying the race is “literally closer ...

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala ...

Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night. Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was pulling his prediction ...

Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night. Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was pulling his prediction ...

Nate Silver shot to fame in 2008 when he predicted the outcome of the presidential election, crunching the data and successfully calling 49 out of 50 states, with Obama winning. He did it again in ...

Historian Allan Lichtman reaffirmed his 2024 election prediction that Vice President Kamala Harris will narrowly defeat former President Donald Trump, and called out fellow predictor Nate Silver ...