ABC News is projecting that Trump is expected to win Indiana’s 11 electoral votes. That is not a surprise. In previous ...

Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — Election Day — millions more will join them.

Today 538 published our official forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is about who is ...

The map was created before Election Day 2024 as a prediction of how women might vote.

Polls taken before Election Day did pretty well. Pollsters got close to the mark in races for president and senate, which is ...

538's Galen Druke and The New York Times’s Ruth Igielnik discuss how important voters rank climate change, national security and the Middle East ahead of the election. The 538 team and The New York ...

On June 27, Biden and Trump are set to square off in Atlanta for the first of two scheduled debates ahead of the general election on November 5. Until then, 538 will rerun its forecast simulator ...

Polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has suddenly named Vice President Kamala Harris its favorite to win the White House, on Election Day, for the first time since October 17. The race has long been ...

Trump winning Massachusetts? Harris winning Tennessee? "Prediction models are fun, but not terribly useful," said one political insider.

The stakes couldn’t be higher, with the election set to ripple across the U.S. economy, global trade, and geopolitics. Markets worldwide are bracing for at least 48 hours of white-knuckle suspense.

On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter more than ever: According to 538's forecasts for the White House, U.S. Senate and U.S. House ...