The former president fell below a 40 percent chance of winning the election in the latest update to FiveThirtyEight's ...

Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most ...

It goes without saying that the polls have shifted a lot since mid-July, when President Biden was well behind Trump. Since ...

As a result, on Monday, Sept. 16, Harris's chance of winning the election according to 538's forecasting model reached 61-in-100 — surpassing her previous high from Aug. 26. If we look at all ...

Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others ...

Around three million Americans abroad are eligible to cast a ballot in November and roughly 30,000 of them live in Ireland.

Since replacing President Joe Biden at the top of the Democratic ticket in July, Harris has been met with a flood of ...

The results of the last six presidential elections in North Carolina compared with the national popular vote. 538 photo illustration But as the chart above shows, the fast-growing, racially ...

We’re less than 50 days out from the 2024 presidential election and for weeks, the polls have shown Vice President Kamala ...

Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 ...

Forecast previously showed that former President Donald Trump would win in Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina.