The electorate can also change a lot in four years: voters die, a crop of new ones turn 18 and become eligible to vote, and ...

I read a couple of books recently that, while I’d not like to take a three-hour final on them, nudged my brain out of neutral ...

For much of the 2024 US presidential campaign, polls and pundits rated the race too close to call. Then Donald Trump ...

Nate Silver became a nationwide ... other political data on his website FiveThirtyEight.com, but has since left to crunch ...

Abbey began her study, “Understanding the Adversary: Strategic Empathy and Perspective Taking in National Security,” with a ...

But the truth is that polling—and the models that rely primarily on polling to forecast the election result—cannot ...

Bean achieved a sort of political fame for a book he wrote in 1948 that ... right?” said Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight and author of the Silver Bulletin, a new site analyzing ...

Nate Silver established his reputation with predictions of political elections, and he now runs the website FiveThirtyEight ... paperback version of Silver's book The Signal and the Noise is ...

Several prominent polling experts, including Nate Silver, The New York Times and FiveThirtyEight, had the race at essentially ...

A recent survey by the American Psychological Association found that 69 percent of Americans are stressed out by the 2024 race, which is slightly higher than the percentage who voted in the last ...

The great science fiction author Isaac Asimov wrote a series of books in which a scientist ... Allan Lichtman and close poll reader Nate Silver — got into an online feud over the weekend over ...