538’s forecasted margin of victory for the eight states with the closest races in the 2024 general election as of Sept. 24, 2024 at 2 p.m. Eastern.

Trump Campaign Manager Accuses ABC’s 538 Election Model of Being a ‘Suppression Tool Used by the Media’ Chris LaCivita’s comments come as the site faces widespread criticism over a lack of ...

Donald Trump's campaign manager used a Semafor report on issues with ABC News' 538 election model to take a shot at the entire prediction effort, labeling it "a suppression tool" and calling for ...

Forecasting website 538 said Trump's chances of winning the election are improving. Donald Trump during a rally on September 23, 2024, in Indiana, Pennsylvania.

The US presidential election is just over three weeks away – and it’s a close race. According to the 538 election model, Harris is currently projected to win 53 out of 100 times in its ...

Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight founder, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the upcoming 2024 presidential election, election odds, risk-taking this election, and more. College Ump Ripped for His Move ...

FiveThirtyEight — named, of course, after the number of electors in the U.S. electoral college — has its roots in the “Community” section of the liberal news site Daily Kos, where, in 2007, a ...

In a 2023 examination of hundreds of U.S. election polls dating back to 1998, FiveThirtyEight senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich found that pollsters accurately predicted the winner only 78 ...