Donald Trump Suffers Major Blow in Top Election Forecast
The former president fell below a 40 percent chance of winning the election in the latest update to FiveThirtyEight's forecast model.
Harris Overtakes Trump in Nate Silver’s Election Forecast Thanks to Momentum in State Polls
State-specific polls had good news for Vice President Kamala Harris, and polling guru Nate Silver now has Harris overtaking former President Donald Trump. Silver, who uses the same forecasting model that he used at FiveThirtyEight,
Election 2024: Latest polling shows Harris extending lead over Trump
We’re less than 50 days out from the 2024 presidential election and for weeks, the polls have shown Vice President Kamala Harris with a lead — albeit a slim one — over former President Donald Trump.
Election Forecast Model Has Kamala Harris Winning Every Swing State
Forecast previously showed that former President Donald Trump would win in Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina.
US election polls: Who is ahead - Harris or Trump?
Voters in the US go to the polls on 5 November to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign and endorsed Vice-President Kamala Harris.
More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees popular, electoral vote split
Many polls show Vice President Kamala Harris holds a small lead nationally over former President Trump less than 50 days out from election day.
Election 2024: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Polls and Odds
U.S. presidential election campaign is one of the closest races in recent history. Initially, polls showed former President Donald Trump holding a consistent lead over incumbent President Joe Biden, with margins typically ranging from 2-4 percentage points.
Nate Silver slammed over Trump election model — but forecasters "all saying roughly the same thing”
Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others
projects.fivethirtyeight11h
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most ...
Customize our 2024 presidential election forecast
"what-if" interactive lets you pick the winner of each state and see how it would shift the range of outcomes in our 2024 presidential election forecast.
Election 2024 Polls: Florida
It goes without saying that the polls have shifted a lot since mid-July, when President Biden was well behind Trump. Since ...
US Presidential elections 2024: Kamala Harris widens lead over Donald Trump after debate; 61% chance of victory
Kamala Harris has increased her lead over Donald Trump in most polls, with a popular vote advantage of 2 to 7 points. Trump ...
Forbes11d
Harris Surges Past Trump In Election Betting Markets After First Presidential Debate
According to the Election Betting Odds tracker ... That is the size of Harris’ lead over Trump in national polls, according ...
The Economist2d
Pennsylvania, the crucial battleground in America’s election
The Economist’s forecast model suggests that the state—with its 19 electoral-college votes, the most of any swing state—is ...