Donald Trump Suffers Major Blow in Top Election Forecast
The former president fell below a 40 percent chance of winning the election in the latest update to FiveThirtyEight's forecast model.
Harris vs. Trump Polls: 2024 Election Could Be the Closest Ever
With a debate and a second assassination attempt in the rearview mirror, the Harris-Trump contest is by any measure too close to call.
Nate Silver slammed over Trump election model — but forecasters "all saying roughly the same thing”
Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others
Election Forecast Model Has Kamala Harris Winning Every Swing State
Forecast previously showed that former President Donald Trump would win in Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina.
Nate Silver: If Trump Loses, He Will Have Let Election 'Slip Out Of His Grasp' As Underlying Factors Favor Him Despite Harris' Poll Lead
Despite nationwide polls pointing to a slight edge for Kamala Harris in the presidential race, prominent polling data analyst Nate Silver said this week that it is still Donald Trump‘s election to lose.
Election 2024: Latest polling shows Harris extending lead over Trump
We’re less than 50 days out from the 2024 presidential election and for weeks, the polls have shown Vice President Kamala Harris with a lead — albeit a slim one — over former President Donald Trump.
More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees popular, electoral vote split
Many polls show Vice President Kamala Harris holds a small lead nationally over former President Trump less than 50 days out from election day.
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Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most ...
Trump Campaign Manager Accuses ABC's 538 Election Model of Being a 'Suppression Tool Used by the Media'
D onald Trump's campaign manager used a Semafor report on issues with ABC News' 538 election model to take a shot at the ...
Forget polls, the stock market is the most accurate predictor of presidential elections
While these election polls will get most of the headlines, it turns out Americans might be better off watching the stock ...
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2 top experts predict outcome of presidential election – and arrive at different results
The election is coming up soon, and two political gurus have shared their predictions for the next president using two unique ...
Customize our 2024 presidential election forecast
"what-if" interactive lets you pick the winner of each state and see how it would shift the range of outcomes in our 2024 presidential election forecast.
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Trump Campaign Manager Accuses ABC’s 538 Election Model of Being a ‘Suppression Tool Used by the Media’
Donald Trump’s campaign manager used a Semafor report on issues with ABC News’ 538 election model to take a shot at the entire prediction effort, labeling it “a suppression tool” and ...
Donald Trump, Kamala Harris virtually tied in new Pennsylvania poll
During Tuesday’s presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, a pattern emerged in which the vice president ...