538’s forecasted margin of victory for the eight states with the closest races in the 2024 general election as of Sept. 24, 2024 at 2 p.m. Eastern.

Trump Campaign Manager Accuses ABC’s 538 Election Model of Being a ‘Suppression Tool Used by the Media’ Chris LaCivita’s comments come as the site faces widespread criticism over a lack of ...

Donald Trump's campaign manager used a Semafor report on issues with ABC News' 538 election model to take a shot at the entire prediction effort, labeling it "a suppression tool" and calling for ...

Forecasting website 538 said Trump's chances of winning the election are improving. Donald Trump during a rally on September 23, 2024, in Indiana, Pennsylvania.

Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight founder, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the upcoming 2024 presidential election, election odds, risk-taking this election, and more. College Ump Ripped for His Move ...

Zohran Mamdani is all but assured to be the Democratic nominee for mayor. Unlike most years, that doesn’t mean he’s a shoo-in ...

FiveThirtyEight — named, of course, after the number of electors in the U.S. electoral college — has its roots in the “Community” section of the liberal news site Daily Kos, where, in 2007, a ...

Between activism, election results and protest turnout, the prevailing political winds suggest the backlash to Donald Trump is real.